Commentary and Research Papers
2024
2024
Small-cap stocks have been underperforming larger ones for the second longest stretch since the 1930s. But there are signals that small-cap stocks may be coming out of their dark stretch. As outlined in a report by advisor Pinnacle Associates, the widening gap began in December 2016. In the subsequent seven years ending November 30, 2023, small caps returned 46.25 percent, compared to the S&P 500 generating returns nearly triple that mark at 130.9 percent.
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2024
2024
After a ferocious market rally in November and December, stocks were mixed in January. Some consolidation was to be expected, after a two-month rally that saw the stock indexes rise anywhere from roughly 15% (large caps), to 20% (mid caps), to 23% (small caps). Developments during the month were generally positive, as economic and inflation data continued to be favorable. Hanging over the market were continued geopolitical concerns over events in the Middle East, most notably the attacks on commercial shipping by the Iran-allied Houthis in Yemen and a potential widening of the war.
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2024
2024
According to our preliminary results, the Small Capitalization Portfolio Composite was up 12.12%, net of fees, for the quarter, slightly behind the 14.03% gain for the Russell 2000 Index and the 15.26% gain of the Russell 2000 Value Index1. For the year, the Portfolio Composite was up 12.53%, net of fees, versus up 16.93% for the Russell 2000 Index and up 14.65% for the Russell 2000 Value Index.
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2024
2024
Stocks posted their second consecutive month of robust gains, as a powerful two month rally off of the late October lows pushed the quarterly and annual returns solidly into positive territory. The reason for December’s rally was similar to that for the previous month’s rally: another favorable inflation reading that led observers to see disinflation in the data, with the Fed following up with increasingly dovish comments.
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2024
2024
After nearly a decade of underperformance, is the tide finally shifting in favor of small cap stocks? For a host of reasons (primarily, rising interest rates and exogenous economic concerns), investors have been hesitant to scale down the market cap ladder, leaving many high-quality small cap stocks under-owned and undervalued.
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2023
2023
Stocks rebounded in November, posting robust returns across the board after three consecutive weak months. November was not only the best month for the market since July 2022, but it was the second-best November since 1980. The main driver of such strong gains during the month was a meaningful decline in yields.
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