Commentary and Research Papers
2024
2024
Stocks continued their upward ascent in March, with investors gaining increased confidence in the economic environment. After looking over their shoulder toward the possibility of imminent recession over the past two years, investors finally seem to be coming around to the idea that maybe a recession is not in the cards. Continued resiliency in the economic data, despite a persistent inversion in the yield curve, and moderating inflation have increasingly made an economic soft landing a likely scenario. Late in the month, some investors were even calling for a “no landing” scenario, which means no interest rate cuts, but also means above-trend economic growth and more dependable corporate profit growth as we move through 2024.
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2024
2024
The February earnings season was a tumultuous few weeks for the Small Capitalization Value (SCV) Portfolio. We had several companies that produced fine 4th Quarter earnings but delivered somewhat cautious and/or disappointing forward outlooks.
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2024
2024
Stocks resumed their upward momentum in February, led once again by the surging artificial-intelligence related stocks. New all-time records were hit for the Standard & Poors’ 500 and NASDAQ Composite, both of which have significant exposure to the large cap Technology stocks that are seen as the early winners in the AI boom. These index gains came despite the scaling back of interest rate cut expectations by investors vs. the end of 2023, when pundits were forecasting as many as seven rate cuts in 2024.
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2024
2024
Pinnacle makes the case that current market conditions are encouraging for small caps to reward investors in its recent white paper entitled “It’s Time to Own U.S. Small Capitalization Equities,” as highlighted in a recent issue of Institutional Investor.
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Commentary and Research Papers
2024
2024
Small-cap stocks have been underperforming larger ones for the second longest stretch since the 1930s. But there are signals that small-cap stocks may be coming out of their dark stretch. As outlined in a report by advisor Pinnacle Associates, the widening gap began in December 2016. In the subsequent seven years ending November 30, 2023, small caps returned 46.25 percent, compared to the S&P 500 generating returns nearly triple that mark at 130.9 percent.
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2024
2024
After a ferocious market rally in November and December, stocks were mixed in January. Some consolidation was to be expected, after a two-month rally that saw the stock indexes rise anywhere from roughly 15% (large caps), to 20% (mid caps), to 23% (small caps). Developments during the month were generally positive, as economic and inflation data continued to be favorable. Hanging over the market were continued geopolitical concerns over events in the Middle East, most notably the attacks on commercial shipping by the Iran-allied Houthis in Yemen and a potential widening of the war.
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Founded in 1984, Pinnacle Associates, Ltd. is a forward thinking, multi-billion dollar investment advisory firm focused on transparency and putting clients first. We provide advice to individuals and families, institutional investors and other financial institutions.
