Commentary and Research Papers
2023
2023
Stocks continued their upward ascent in June, in a broad-based rally that lifted all of the market sectors to positive monthly returns. Investors were heartened by the Fed’s pause of its year-long interest rate tightening campaign, as well as by fading fears of imminent recession as economic indicators continued to outpace expectations.
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2023
2023
Stocks traded in a narrow range in May, masking what was actually a very eventful month. It wasn’t only the contentious negotiations on the US debt ceiling, which raised the specter of a technical US debt default.
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2023
2023
Stocks traded in a narrow range in April, finishing mixed. For the second consecutive month, large caps posted positive gains and smaller stocks mostly negative returns, although the differential between the two asset classes was narrower than last month.
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2023
2023
Stocks posted mixed returns in March, with considerable volatility along the way. Investors came into the month still worried about the stronger-than-expected economic data and stubbornly-high inflation readings that were seen in February.
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2023
2023
In the first half of the year, we saw the failure of three mid-sized banks, a marked slowdown in the growth of the largest technology firms, and a round of debt ceiling negotiations that pushed the US closer than ever to default. Despite all of this, the S&P 500 built on its gains from the first quarter, generating a total return of +8.7% in the second and bringing year-to-date returns to +16.9%.
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