Commentary and Research Papers
October 16, 2025
2025
The third quarter of 2025 delivered unexpectedly strong equity market performance. The S&P 500 Index surged to all-time highs, rebounding sharply from the volatility surrounding “Liberation Day” in April. This recovery was driven by stronger-than-anticipated corporate earnings, dovish commentary from the Federal Reserve, and mounting investor enthusiasm surrounding generative Artificial Intelligence (AI).
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October 15, 2025
2025
In September 2025, Starlink stunned the satellite world when it agreed to acquire wireless spectrum from EchoStar to expand its direct-to-cell service. This $17 billion deal (half in cash and half in parent company SpaceX stock) spurred EchoStar’s stock price to climb nearly 15 percent. In part, this was because investors were given one of the few available routes to invest in Elon Musk’s private space launch and satellite vehicle.
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October 15, 2025
2025
Equity market strength continued virtually unabated in Q3, supported by strong corporate earnings, rising expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut (25 bp cut realized in September), and an increasing consensus that the massive AI investment boom will continue through at least 2026 without a slowdown. In a healthy indicator, market strength broadened out, as the small cap Russell 2000 Index expanded +12.4% as compared to the large cap S&P 500 +8.1%. A notable increase in corporate M&A activity was also evident, reflecting general confidence in the outlook for business activity. As for traditional market indicators, 2Q U.S. GDP growth was revised higher to a +3.8% annualized rate, with expectations for continued growth in Q3.
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October 15, 2025
2025
The Small Capitalization Value Portfolio Composite was up 10.91%, net of fees, for the quarter, versus the 12.60% gain for the Russell 2000 Value Index and the 12.39% gain of the Russell 2000 Index.1 Year-to-date, the Portfolio Composite was up 12.74%, net of fees, versus the 9.04% gain for the Russell 2000 Value and the 10.39% gain for the Russell 2000 indices.
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October 15, 2025
2025
Stocks delivered another positive month in September, defying the historical weakness often associated with the month. The rally was fueled by expectations of Federal Reserve easing (including a 25-basis-point rate cut mid month), strong reported corporate earnings and increasingly positive earnings revisions, and continued investor appetite for technology stocks, especially those related to artificial intelligence (AI) and semiconductors.
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October 28, 2025
2025
Markets continued their upward trend in the third quarter, building on what has already been a strong year for investors. The major U.S. equity indices all posted solid gains: the S&P 500 rose 7.8%, the Dow added 5.2%, the Nasdaq gained 11.2%, and the small-cap Russell 2000 advanced 12.0%, marking its best quarter since late 2023. Several indices reached new record highs in September, underscoring the resilience of market sentiment despite the growing complexity of the economic outlook.
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