Commentary and Research Papers
2024
2024
Small capitalization stocks ended the summer on a weak note as August gave back some of the July gains. The Federal Reserve has moderated its aggressive interest rate stance, but investors are still cautious about inflation and the pace of future interest rate cuts. In addition, weaker economic data raised investor concerns about a potential economic soft landing.
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2024
2024
August started off in tumultuous fashion, continuing a volatile summer season after a very eventful July. In July, we saw dramatic developments on the political, financial and geopolitical fronts, and investors were hoping for calm markets in August as they headed to the beach. But it was not to be.
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2024
2024
Since the beginning of the year, we have been expecting (hoping) for a rotation from momentum to value stocks, and July delivered the reversion to the mean trade with a bang. The Pinnacle Small Cap Value Portfolio composite came in above the Russell 2000 Value and the Russell 2000 Indices for the month.
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2024
2024
July was a very eventful month, with dramatic and unprecedented developments on the US political front, a potential sea change in the financial markets, intensifying geopolitical tensions and the continued obsession with the Federal Reserve Board’s next moves.
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2024
2024
The US equity market has exhibited exceptional strength over the past decade, delivering a cumulative total return of 236.2% for the S&P 500 as of May 21, 2024. Those fortunate enough to hold one of the top ten holdings in the index have seen an even more lucrative median total return just shy of 1000%, largely due to share price appreciation. However, with such gains come new burdens, whether it be a concentrated portfolio in need of diversification or sizable sales-related tax liabilities.
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2024
2024
Small capitalization stocks were volatile, again, during the quarter. In April, the Portfolio declined, along with the Russell 2000 and Russell 2000 Value indices. Concerns about incremental increases in inflation and the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates “higher for longer” weighed on small capitalization stocks. May saw a rebound; small-capitalization stocks performed well but continued to lag large capitalization companies for the quarter. Money flow into the largest Artificial Intelligence companies (NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL) increased, contributing more than half of the S&P 500 Index’ monthly gain. The broad market continues to build record levels of concentration in the largest technology companies. According to Raymond James, the average stock was down about 3% during the quarter while the S&P 500 Index, dominated by a handful of leaders, was up 3.9%.
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