Commentary and Research Papers
2024
2024
The US equity market has exhibited exceptional strength over the past decade, delivering a cumulative total return of 236.2% for the S&P 500 as of May 21, 2024. Those fortunate enough to hold one of the top ten holdings in the index have seen an even more lucrative median total return just shy of 1000%, largely due to share price appreciation. However, with such gains come new burdens, whether it be a concentrated portfolio in need of diversification or sizable sales-related tax liabilities.
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2024
2024
Small capitalization stocks were volatile, again, during the quarter. In April, the Portfolio declined, along with the Russell 2000 and Russell 2000 Value indices. Concerns about incremental increases in inflation and the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates “higher for longer” weighed on small capitalization stocks. May saw a rebound; small-capitalization stocks performed well but continued to lag large capitalization companies for the quarter. Money flow into the largest Artificial Intelligence companies (NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, and GOOGL) increased, contributing more than half of the S&P 500 Index’ monthly gain. The broad market continues to build record levels of concentration in the largest technology companies. According to Raymond James, the average stock was down about 3% during the quarter while the S&P 500 Index, dominated by a handful of leaders, was up 3.9%.
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2024
2024
The SMID portfolio performed well versus the benchmark on a relative basis in the second quarter, significantly closing the gap in performance exiting Q1 and moving toward providing a level of outperformance we have delivered throughout our long history. The Technology sector was the largest contributor to outperformance, followed by Energy and Consumer Discretionary. We were also pleased to see some of our industrial automation and auto related companies rebound after struggling in recent quarters. Healthcare and Communication sectors were mild negative offsets.
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2024
2024
Stocks were mixed in June, with large cap stocks continuing to lead while small cap stocks lagged behind. Inflation data improved during the month, with the Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation indicator, the core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), posting its lowest year-over-year increase in over three years. Still, the persistent lack of clarity regarding overall economic activity held back any positive sentiment that might have come from better inflation data.
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2024
2024
The Small Cap Value portfolio ended the quarter on a down note, similar to the Russell 2000 and Russell 2000 Value Indices. We lagged the benchmarks for the month due to weaker results in Energy and Communication Services. Our Energy stocks declined after a strong performance in May, and our Communication Services stocks, which focus on the small business market, were negatively impacted by another month of weak small business sentiment.
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2024
2024
Exposure to innovative and transformative biotechnology companies has been a part of Pinnacle’s SMID investment strategy since our portfolio’s inception in 1996. Without a doubt, some of our most successful investments have come from this industry. Surprisingly, we have learned over the years that most investment managers avoid biotech stocks due to the inherent binary risks that come with drug development. We wanted to discuss why we think that the opportunity set is constructive.
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