Commentary and Research Papers
2024
2024
Stocks continued to advance in Q3, with strength broadening out and away from the almighty Magnificent 7. Key to the market breadth was growing expectations during the quarter for a Fed rate cut, which was ultimately confirmed when the Fed reduced rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. The positive reaction to the long-awaited ease in rates trumped a negative turn in Mideast tensions, as well as continued uncertainty around the presidential election.
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2024
2024
Similar to August, September started off on a weak note and subsequently rallied back to post solid monthly gains. During the first week of a seasonally difficult month, stocks fell nearly 5% on concerns about the health of the US economy after another weak employment report and poor manufacturing data. But stocks subsequently rebounded on improving economic indicators, positive inflation readings and the increasing possibility that the Federal Reserve Board might act more aggressively to cut rates at its upcoming meeting.
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2024
2024
Small capitalization stocks ended the summer on a weak note as August gave back some of the July gains. The Federal Reserve has moderated its aggressive interest rate stance, but investors are still cautious about inflation and the pace of future interest rate cuts. In addition, weaker economic data raised investor concerns about a potential economic soft landing.
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2024
2024
August started off in tumultuous fashion, continuing a volatile summer season after a very eventful July. In July, we saw dramatic developments on the political, financial and geopolitical fronts, and investors were hoping for calm markets in August as they headed to the beach. But it was not to be.
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2024
2024
Since the beginning of the year, we have been expecting (hoping) for a rotation from momentum to value stocks, and July delivered the reversion to the mean trade with a bang. The Pinnacle Small Cap Value Portfolio composite came in above the Russell 2000 Value and the Russell 2000 Indices for the month.
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2024
2024
July was a very eventful month, with dramatic and unprecedented developments on the US political front, a potential sea change in the financial markets, intensifying geopolitical tensions and the continued obsession with the Federal Reserve Board’s next moves.
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